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ECONOMICS AND ESOTERICA FOR A NEW PARADIGM

Jim Berkland: Major California earthquake predicted for March 19th – 26th

with 7 comments

from politicsandfinance.blogspot.com
Originally posted March 16, 2011

 

For an enlarged image of the map (left), click on: http://www.seismic.ca.gov/pub/shaking_18x23.pdf

 

Neil Cavuto interview with former USGS geologist Jim Berkland who claims a 75% success rate in earthquake prediction:

Watching Fox in order to stay current on the nuclear events unfolding in Japan, I listened to a Cavuto interview with Jim Berkland. Berkland is known as the man who predicted the World Series earthquake four days before it hit back in 1989. He is now predicting a major seismic event to occur in California sometime between the dates of the 19th and 26th of this month.

Eccentric? Maybe! But while past performance is no guarantee of future results, his is a voice that should be taken somewhat seriously.

Jim Berkland in his own words

“… Mainstream scientists generally try to debunk various aspects of my earthquake predictions or to ridicule me personally, with epithets such as crackpot or clown. My response is to question their own records in earthquake prediction, and to point out that the main action of a stream is not near the center, but closer to the edge. Near the fringes, with eddies and cross-currents, erosion and deposition are more effective, sometimes leading to changes in the course of the stream. Conformity does not lead to invention. Scientific progress is not achieved by majority vote. Following my pilgrimage to Gizeh [Egypt] with John Anthony West, I discovered the meaning of life: To seek your purpose and strive to achieve it. Anything less is a waste of existence. I am fortunate to have found that my purpose is to de-mystify earthquakes for the public so that meaningful preparations take the place of fatalistic attitudes, that often prove fatal.

The experts of High Science state that earthquake prediction is currently a scientific impossibility. I maintain that the topic is too important to leave to the experts and I continue to do the impossible with a better than 75% batting average, which is more than 300% greater than chance…”

Cavuto/Berkland interview excerpt from Fox video (above)

BERKLAND: Well, if it was, one in the northwest, in the Cascadia Trench, like we had in 1700, that would be a nine magnitude quake. I’m not predicting that. But I’m saying we just had a massive fish kill. Maybe a million fish died in Redondo Beach. They had a massive fish sweep in Mexico. We just had a bunch of whales come in close to San Diego.

CAVUTO: What does that presage? When you have events like that, what does that generally mean? What’s going on in the waters?

BERKLAND: Changes – changes in the magnetic field that often precede larger earthquakes. Most animals have the mineral magnetite in their bodies, including people. But it enables homing pigeons to get home. Just before big quakes, they often can’t get home. There is the delay factor. So we look for those kinds of things.

Just before the World Series quake there was very unusual beaching of rare whales in the Ocean Beach, in San Francisco. Just after that, a equally rare pigmy sperm whale washed up at Santa Cruz, within about five miles of the epicenter of the World Series quake. That kind of beaching had never occurred before nor since. So we’re looking for strange fish coming into from deepwater to the shallow water, wild animals coming into cities.

I used to just scoff at these kinds of things, because I was a mainstream geologist until I found out that earthquakes are fitting a pattern. The big earthquake in the Indian Ocean followed massive beachings of whales in New Zealand and Australia and Tasmania. And then within couple of days, they had a 8.3 in the south of New Zealand, and then came the 9.1 in the Indian Ocean, with the big tsunami, on the very day of the full moon…

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The following biographical info from Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (with thanks):

Jim Berkland is a retired geologist who worked many years for the U.S. Geological Survey. He was also the first County Geologist for Santa Clara County (in northern California) and was in that position for twenty-one years. He has published over fifty scientific papers. He has been a popular guest on many network news programs and talk shows on the subject of earthquake prediction. Berkland claims he has developed a method for predicting earthquakes, and on his web site and in a monthly newsletter, he lays out a detailed set of signs and precursors that he uses for his predictions. He also lists dozens of major earthquakes he claims to have predicted.

Career
In an interview published on October 13, 1989, one day before the start of Baseball’s 1989 World Series, Berkland predicted a major earthquake would occur in the San Francisco Bay Area in the near future. The Loma Prieta earthquake occurred on October 17, just before the start of the third game of the Series. Berkland claims that government officials told him not to make any more predictions, fearing mass panic, and he was suspended for two months from his Santa Clara County geology position in late October, 1989. Berkland predicted an earthquake for January 9–14, 2009.

Interviewed on Fox News (above) in March 2011, Berkland predicted an earthquake for sometime between March 19 and March 26, 2011. He cited as factors the highest tides in 18 years and the proximity of the moon, suggesting that the quake will most likely strike on Saturday, March 19, 2011.

Methodology
Berkland claims to use tidal flooding tables based upon lunar perigee (when the moon is closest to earth, which affects gravitational pull) and the twice-monthly alignment of the sun and moon. He also considers strange animal behavior, such as the number of ads in newspapers for lost or runaway pets, as well as the mass beaching of whales and dolphins. He attributes the strange behaviors to radical changes in the Earth’s magnetic field just prior to earthquakes and in the general area of the quakes. He says that, when these changes occur, they interfere with the sea mammals’, and even the migratory birds’, ability to navigate, which explains the mass beachings. He says even dogs and cats can sense the disruptions, which explains elevated rates of runaway-pet reports. Research on Earth’s magnetic field, and how it is affected by moving tectonic plates and earthquakes, is ongoing.

Controversy
Critics counter that the majority of predictions he has made since his 1989 prediction are much less specific than that one, and that he has since been unable to make a public prediction of similar significance before an event. Other scientists have reviewed and debunked several statistical correlations advocated by Berkland and others in predicting earthquakes, including lost pets and syzygy of the moon.

Media appearances
Berkland has, on many occasions, been a guest on the late-night radio program, Coast to Coast AM, created by Art Bell. On television, he has been seen on Frontline, , Sightings, Strange Universe, Town Meeting, and many other programs. In January 2006, a book by Cal Orey about Jim Berkland was published, The Man Who Predicts Earthquakes: Jim Berkland, Maverick Geologist–How His Quake Warnings Can Save Lives (Sentient Publications) ISBN 1-59181-036-1.

Honors
50+ publications in Geology Listed in eight Who’s Who publications, including Who’s Who in America

  • Fellow, Geological Society of America
  • Member, Assoc. Engin. Geologists
  • Member, Assoc. Earthquake Engineering Research Inst. (Past VP San Francisco Section)
  • Member, Peninsula Geological Society (Past Treasurer)
  • Member, American Association for the Advancement of Science
  • Member, American Archeological Soc.
  • Co-founder and past President, SABER SOC. (Soc. for Adapting Building to the Environment Reasonably)
  • Taught Geology at Appalachian State University and San Jose State University

7 Responses

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  1. Please let me know of any more preditions……..I was raised in Santa Cruz, Ca. and have family and friends still there. Now live in Central Oregon and am interested in what’s happening in our area with the sisters mountain range and the bulge going on. Thanks so much…………..Sharon

    sharon gravance

    18/03/2011 at 6:47 pm

  2. I live in Sunnyvale, CA. as well as my daughter, her husband and two children. We were here for the 1989 quake and I’ve been through a couple 6…something earthquakes in Hawaii, along with tsunami warnings, and not to mention having to leave 3 houses because of Kilauea Volcano eruptions. But the last one here scared me the most and I can’t even imagine what a 9.0 earthquake would be like. It’s scary. Please send an email with any more on this topic for our safety. Thanks, Kelly

    Kelly Stauffer

    20/03/2011 at 7:53 pm

  3. A quick check reveals that the massive fish kill at Redondo beach was due to the fish consumption of toxic algae. Their guts contained domoic acid, toxic, and from algae.

    paula barsamian

    20/03/2011 at 10:42 pm

  4. All that Dr Berkland is doing is simple math with his predictions. He is simply observing the moving of the massive Pacific Plate. Finally he has focused his observation of animal and fish patterns(or the disruption thereof). What if this guy is right? He will be the most sought after person on the planet for a very long time. In many ways I hope he is right. We will finally have a logical, clear thinking way of predicting earthquakes. Think of the lives he’ll save.

    Sandra Oliver

    21/03/2011 at 3:45 am

  5. Ahh…Fox News doing what they do best….

    John Doe

    23/03/2011 at 10:03 am

  6. Clockwise pattern? …That’s not how these things work. The distances between these events are vast, and the makeup of the crust between is complex. The Chilean and Japanese quakes are major events, but the New Zealand quake is not, seismically speaking. It was only a major event in terms of the destruction it caused, which was entirely due to its location relative to human population centers.

    These guys are trying to connect dots that just aren’t connected.

    marshall banana

    24/03/2011 at 12:38 am

  7. I guess the prediction was wrong, but, that did not stop me from being prepared. He might have had this one wrong, but someday when we least expect it, the big one will happen. I need to remain prepared, cautious but not in fear. Life goes on and we must continue to live our normal daily lives.

    Kelly

    30/03/2011 at 6:18 am


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