H1N1 Swine Flu Scenarios: Best Case, Worst Case Predictions
by Mike Adams, the Health Ranger, NaturalNews Editor
Posted August 13, 2009
WHEN IT COMES TO SWINE FLU, the public predictions are all over the map: On one hand, governments don’t want you to be so worried that you start to panic and stay home from work, but they want you to be worried enough to submit to a vaccine injection. Beyond the vaccine propaganda and the WHO’s agenda to prop up the profits of drug companies by seizing control of the intellectual property of influenza viruses, what’s really likely to happen this year as the virus spreads? Here, I present some educated guesses on the best case / worst case scenarios we may see unfold with the H1N1 swine flu pandemic.
Best Case, Worst Case for your kids in public schools
Best Case: A few sneezers at school get isolated or masks are slapped on their faces. Infections are mild and deaths are few
Worst Case: Mutating strains of the swine flu storm like a wildfire through the public school system, infecting tens of millions of children, killing tens of thousands, and shuttering the school system for much of the 2009 / 2010 school year.
Likely Case: (By “likely” I mean my own educated guess on roughly what seems to be the more probable outcome.) Some schools close due to spreading influenza, but most stay open. Lots of children are infected, but more children are seriously harmed by the vaccines than by the virus itself.
Best Case, Worst Case for the H1N1 swine flu severity
Best Case: The flu remains mild, killing no more people than season flu (which the CDC claims kills 30,000 Americans a year).
Worst Case: The flu quickly mutates to become resistant to both Tamiflu and the vaccines being given to people. It ramps up through December then hits hard in January and February when most people are vitamin D deficient. Over a billion people around the world become infected, and millions die.
Likely Case: While this is a very difficult prediction to make, I wouldn’t be surprised to see worldwide infections exceed one billion people. The total number of deaths is a wildcard. One million deaths worldwide from swine flu over the next two winters is not an unreasonable estimate based on historical accounts of pandemics.
Best Case, Worst Case for the Swine Flu Vaccine
Best Case: The vaccine performs as advertised by Big Pharma, protecting people from swine flu infections while harming no one.
Worst Case: The vaccine is worse than the swine flu itself. Rather than protecting people, it causes the death of many thousands (or even millions, if you subscribe to the population control theory on swine flu vaccines).
Likely Case: In my view, the vaccine itself is a real wildcard here. Testing has been extremely limited, and no long-term testing will be conducted at all before it is injected into people. The vaccine will most likely cause a few short-term deaths (people dying within 48 hours, for example), but the real issue may be the long-term risks of the vaccine. What happens six months later? Will it cause paralysis in some people? Will it harm immune system function or damage vital organs in a way that could not be detected in the short-term? That’s what I think the real risk is with the vaccine: What it does to you over time (if you survive the first 48 hours).
Best Case, Worst Case for the infrastructure of society
Best Case: Zero disruptions. A few people get sick, but they sleep it off and return to work. The power, water, public safety, food supplies and other key infrastructure components remain fully intact, barely skipping a beat.
Worst Case: Mad Max. Total collapse of complex society. The number of sick people surpasses a tipping point, leading to critical failures that cascade into larger failures. Before long, the complexity of modern society unravels, collapsing into a simpler society, along with a huge reduction in population from starvation and disease.
Likely Case: Temporary but serious disruptions in early 2010 as swine flu infections peak, sending a significant portion of the workforce home to recover. Expect random, local service outages and unpredictable delays in the delivery of food, fuel, and other essentials. Eventually, however, society will recover from the pandemic and go on to face other crises (such as the demise of the U.S. dollar and the looming debt crisis).
Best Case, Worst Case for hospitals and health care
Best Case: Few infections mean hospitals have plenty of capacity. The anti-viral drugs work well and the vaccines work as intended.
Worst Case: Hospitals overflow with the dead as local school gymnasiums are requisitioned for use as makeshift morgues (a la 1918). Hospitals become death zones where the virus spreads (and mutates). The virus quickly acquires immunity to Tamiflu while further mutations outflank all available vaccines. People attempting to enter hospitals are simply sent home to die.
Likely Case: Hospitals are stressed to near-breaking point status as infected patients flood into emergency rooms worldwide. Anti-viral drugs remain in short supply while hospitals become seriously short-staffed due to workers becoming infected themselves. Public service messages are aired to encourage infected patients to stay home and avoid flooding emergency rooms.
How to make it better for you in any case
Regardless of whether the “best case” or “worst case” scenario materializes (or something in between), note carefully that there is nothing mentioned here that you cannot survive if you’re well prepared.
Simply boosting your own health through the use of vitamin D, superfoods and targeted nutritional supplements can greatly increase your ability to stay off the “victim” lists and remain in control of your own health destiny. You can also insulate yourself against potential infrastructure failures quite easily through basic preparedness measures (food, water, heat, shelter, etc.)
Simple preparedness will help keep you safe, healthy and confident no matter what the swine flu pandemic brings. That’s the real message here: Be prepared, not scared! Plan for things in advance and they won’t bite you back. The coming H1N1 pandemic is no different: It’s something you can see well in advance. So plan for it, and you most likely won’t be surprised and harmed by it.
When the virus surges this fall, nobody can honestly claim “I didn’t know!” Everybody knows it’s coming. Yet the vast majority will do nothing to prepare, blindly putting their trust and faith in a failed health care system that only seeks to extract profit from the pandemic rather than actually teaching people how to get healthy enough to survive on their own.
Don’t be part of the “do nothing” crowd. Prepare now, and you’ll thank your living, breathing self later. Hopefully, after the winter of 2009 / 2010, we can all take a look back at articles like this one and say thank goodness the worst case scenario never unfolded.
About the author: Mike Adams is a consumer health advocate with a strong interest in personal health, the environment and the power of nature to help us all heal He has authored and published thousands of articles, interviews, consumers guides, and books on topics like health and the environment, reaching millions of readers with information that is saving lives and improving personal health around the world. Adams is an independent journalist with strong ethics who does not get paid to write articles about any product or company. In 2007, he launched EcoLEDs, a maker of energy efficient LED lights that greatly reduce CO2 emissions. He also launched an online retailer of environmentally-friendly products (BetterLifeGoods.com) and uses a portion of its profits to help fund non-profit endeavors. He’s also the founder and CEO of a well known email mail merge software developer whose software, ‘Email Marketing Director,’ currently runs the NaturalNews email subscriptions. Adams also serves as the executive director of the Consumer Wellness Center, a non-profitconsumer protection group, and enjoys outdoor activities, nature photography, Pilates and adult gymnastics.